Tuesday, December 19, 2017

Broker's Digest 18 Dec 2017

Bumitama Agri (Dec 13: 74.5 cents)
- Maintain Buy.  Downside risks for CPO prices will not be significant from now
- However we do not expect prices to bounce back strongly either
- Our price target of 95 cents is maintained

CapitaLand Retail China Trust (Dec 13: $1.60)
- Maintain Buy.  Acquired a much younger asset, Rock Square in the first-tier city of Guangzhou.
- Although initial yield is lower in comparison, we believe the asset has greater growth potential
- We have priced in another acquisition of $250 million for the start of FY 2018 with 5% initial net property income yield and 3% per annum growth potential

City Developments (Nov 13: $12.65)
- Maintain ADD.  City developments has revised the offer price for remaining 34.8% in Millennium & Copthorne it does not own
- Once completed, the deal is likely to accrete positively to our revised NAV estimates
- Price target of $13.15 pegged at a 20% discount of RNAV

ComfortDelgro (Dec 13: $1.95)
- Maintain BUY.  ComfortDelgro announced that it was acquiring a 51% stake in Lion City Rental
- This tie up should be positive as both parties leverage their strengths. 
- DCF-based price target of $2.40

First REIT (Dec 13: $1.40)
- Maintain BUY.  Siloam registered a healthy set of top-line and operational results in 3Q2017.
- We continue to expect positive base rental revisions for the REIT's Indonesian assets
- First REIT currently trades at a FY2017F P/BV of 1.38x %, lower than Parkway Life REIT's 1.66x.
- Fair value estimate of $1.44

First Resources (Dec 13: $1.87)
- Maintain NEUTRAL.  We believe the downside risks for CPO prices would not be significant from now on and are likely to remain relatively rangebound.
- We lift FY2018F-FY2019F earnings by3% to 10% to reflect higher CPO price assumptions
- Price target drops to $2.03 (from $2.15) based on a lower 2018 PER of 12 x (from 13 x)

Roxy-Pacific Holdings (Dec 13: 54 cents)
- Buy (initiating coverage). Roxy being one of the earliest to land-bank in the current market cycle, has seven freehold residential developments in Singapore that will be ready to launch in 2018
- In FY2017, Roxy acquired four new commercial buildings in Australia/New Zealand and one hotel property in Japan.  These properties will start contributing in FY2018
- Our price target of 69 cents is based on 30% discount to RNAV of 98 cents

SPH REIT (Dec 13: $1.03)
- Downgrade to HOLD.  SPH REIT's earnings are resilient, support by sticky occupancies, while its low gearing of around 26% empowers the manager to undertake value accretive acquisitions
- Our FY2018 DPU forecast is 8% lower than the consensus average
- DCF-backed price target of $1.07

Wilmar Int'l (Dec 13: $3.15)
- Maintain NEUTRAL.  Downside risks to CPO prices would be quite limited from now.
- However there is a lack of catalysts for a significant share price recovery
- We believe the key positive development for 2018 would be the group's growing consumer pack segment while the China listing is expected to come only in 2019.
- Our SOP based price target dips to $3.31


(Source:  TheEdgeSingapore December 18 2017)