Sunday, June 21, 2009

Comeback for the greenback?

The battered US dollar, which has depreciated significantly against all major currencies over the past three months, could see a rebound in 2H as risk aversion returns, say currency strategists.

Major currencies against USD since March 2
CurrencyGain(%)
South African rand28.78
New Zealand dollar27.97
Australian dollar25.36
South Korean won24.46
Brazilian real21.4
Swedish krona17.13
British pound15.6
Mexican peso14.44
Canadian dollar13.28
Norweigian krone12.91
Danish krone10.9
Euro10.81
Swiss franc8.8
Singapore dollar6.91
Taiwanese dollar6.88
Japanese yen1.63

1. Recommended short term-currency trades

ASHRAF LAIDI, CMC Markets

- Long USD against major currencies

- Long SGD against USD over a six month period

DANIEL TENENGAUZER, MERRILL LYNCH

- Long USD against EUR, KRW, INR, BRL and AUD

JEFFREY HALLEY, SAXO CAPITAL MARKETS

- Long USD against EUR and SGD

- Long SGD against AUD and NZD

PATRICK BENNETT, SOCIETE GENERALE

- Long USD against KRW, PHP, RM, EUR and SGD

- Long KRW and TWD against SGD

2. Long term bets

- Long BRL, INR, KRW, Polish zloty and ZAR against USD, EUR and JPY

(Source: TheEdge Singapore, June 22 - June 28, 2009)

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